US Yield Curve Steepener Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views
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Price change since each call, adjusted for long/short direction. Results calculated:
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07:40
Aug 28
Aug 28
Warsh evasiveness would undermine dollar, steepen curve
If Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh speaks on monetary policy and repeats the July press conference—evasive on how inflation returns to target and relying on financial conditions to tighten—Adam argues that would undermine the dollar and steepen the US yield curve; he sees that as an obvious mistake and unlikely, but the event risk is live.
MED
21:06
Aug 05
Aug 05
Yield curves will continue to steepen.
Fed Chair Worsh's limited guidance and inaction on high inflation have reduced rate hike expectations, pushing long-end yields higher and steepening the yield curve. As markets become more sensitive to inflation data and the Fed remains slow to act, the rate strategists expect yield curves to continue to steepen.
HIGH
10:47
Jun 16
Jun 16
Expect steeper yield curves on sticky inflation
The central bank response to the oil shock will be to look through the supply-side inflation, making front-end rates less hawkish. However, the inflation impulse itself will not disappear, leading to steeper yield curves and stickier long-end yields.
LOW
07:19
Jun 16
Jun 16
Yield curve steepening on sticky inflation
Supply-side oil inflation will give central banks an excuse to look through the shock at the front end, keeping short-term rates less hawkish, while inflation keeps long-end yields sticky. This divergence will cause the yield curve to steepen.
MED
12:15
Feb 27
Feb 27
Short duration, favor inflation-linked bonds
He is short duration and expects Fed politics to be inflationary, producing a steeper yield curve; he dislikes conventional bonds and favors inflation-linked bonds as markets punish duration in equities and bonds.
HIGH
07:02
Jan 09
Jan 09
Tariff ruling risk could steepen Treasury curve.
The Supreme Court tariff ruling is a major swing factor for Treasuries. If tariffs are struck down, the revenue that has helped keep yields low would be removed; Treasury yields could rise aggressively and the yield curve could steepen a lot, hurting the mortgage market.
MED
About US Yield Curve Steepener Investor Commentary
Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks US Yield Curve Steepener across 2 sources: 4 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 5 authors. Historical directional balance: 67% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 6 total trade ideas tracked. Latest voices: Adam Jensen, Andrew Sheets, Mark Cudmore.